British car production plunges to its lowest level in more than four decades – as automakers struggle to deal with falling demand

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British car production has plunged to its lowest level in more than 40 years as automakers struggle to deal with falling demand.

It comes as ministers come under increasing pressure to relax electric vehicle targets amid warnings from the industry that it could result in factory closures and job losses.

Around 64,216 new cars rolled off UK production lines last month, down 30 per cent from last year, according to industry body the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT). 

It was the worst monthly performance for the industry since 1980 when Britain was gripped by industrial unrest and soaring inflation.

The SMMT highlighted that all major automakers in the UK have seen production decline, with output of electric vehicles falling nearly 46 per cent.

So far this year, car production is down nearly 13 per cent on 2023 at 734,562 vehicles.‘

‘These figures offer little Christmas cheer for the sector. While a decline was to be expected given the extensive changes underway at many plants, manufacturing is under pressure at home and abroad,’ said SMMT head Mike Hawes.

Around 64,216 new cars rolled off UK production lines last month, down 30% from last year

Around 64,216 new cars rolled off UK production lines last month, down 30% from last year

So far this year, car production is down nearly 13% on 2023 at 734,562 vehicles

So far this year, car production is down nearly 13% on 2023 at 734,562 vehicles

Vauxhall parent firm Stellantis says it will close its Luton van factory next year to consolidate production at its Ellesmere Port plant

Vauxhall parent firm Stellantis says it will close its Luton van factory next year to consolidate production at its Ellesmere Port plant

He added: ‘Government can help by supporting consumers in the transition, fast tracking its Industrial Strategy for advanced manufacturing and, most urgently, reviewing the market regulation which is putting enormous strain on the sector.’

The bleak data comes as British carmakers have raised the alarm about the state of the industry. 

Last month, car giant Stellantis announced plans to shut down its van-making factory in Luton putting 1,100 jobs at risk.

US group Ford has also said it plans to cut 800 jobs in the UK over the next three years. It currently employs 5,300 people in Britain.

The closures and cuts come amid an intensifying row between the industry and ministers over targets intended to boost the number of electric cars on the roads.

Electric cars must make up at least 22 per cent of sales for car makers this year as part of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate introduced to UK law earlier this year,

The threshold increases annually, jumping to 28 per cent in 2025 and eventually rising to 80 per cent by 2030.

Firms that fall short of the required annual targets face hefty fines. 

Labour has also pledged to reintroduce a ban on new petrol and diesel cars by 2030 after the Conservative government previously pushed back the deadline to 2035.

Some hybrids will be given a five-year stay of execution before all new cars with combustion engines are outlawed in the middle of the next decade. 

Electric cars must make up at least 22% of sales for car makers this year, a figure that will rise to 80 per cent by 2030

Electric cars must make up at least 22% of sales for car makers this year, a figure that will rise to 80 per cent by 2030 

Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds admitted to MPs last month that the electric vehicle mandate was ‘not working as anyone intended’

Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds admitted to MPs last month that the electric vehicle mandate was ‘not working as anyone intended’

New Automotive's ZEV tracker shows that Jaguar Land Rover's parent company Tata and Toyota are the two manufacturers set to miss targets by the most

New Automotive’s ZEV tracker shows that Jaguar Land Rover’s parent company Tata and Toyota are the two manufacturers set to miss targets by the most

But car makers have urged the Government to rethink the targets, warning that falling demand for electric vehicles from consumers means they are being forced to close factories and cut jobs instead.

The Government’s stance appears to have softened when Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds admitted to MPs last month that the electric vehicle mandate was ‘not working as anyone intended’.

An announcement is due imminently – though now likely in the new year – about relaxing of ZEV mandate rules to ease the burden on manufacturers as car makers also face difficulties abroad. 

German giant Volkswagen is currently engaged in talks with the country’s powerful trade unions after around 100,000 of its workers walked on strike in protest at its plans to close factories and cut wages.

Meanwhile, Japanese groups Honda and Nissan have started discussions around a potential merger to try and combat growing competition from larger rivals.

Audi this month has also confirmed the closure of its Brussels EV factory due to falling demand for battery cars, while Ford has also said in recent weeks that it is scaling back outputs of its new Explorer and Capri EVs over concerns about a lack of orders. 

Industry watchers have said all major car brands are suffering from a poisonous cocktail of sluggish demand for electric cars and rising competition from China.

Chinese car makers, on the back of substantial subsidies from Beijing, have begun to dominate their domestic market and are now looking to break into other countries, adding more competition to the sector.

What is the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate? 

Passed into law under Rishi Sunak’s Conservative government, the zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate requires manufacturers to increase the share of zero emission cars they sell each year.

Given there are almost no hydrogen fuel cell vehicles sold in Britain today, this primarily means an increase in battery electric car sales.

The mandate works on a credit-based system where manufacturers are awarded or stripped of credits if they overperform or underperform on the annual quotas.

Manufactures can choose to bank these credits for future years if they’re needed or can be sold to underperforming car makers who need them to avoid the fines.

Conglomerates, like Volkswagen Group and Stellantis, can use credits from one brand under its umbrella to help another worse performing other brand it owns.

But manufacturers also earn credits for sales of low emission cars, such as plug-in hybrids.

If a car maker beats their CO2 target (which is set individually for each brand) by reducing their CO2 emissions, then they can, for the first three years, convert this breathing room into ZEV credits at an exchange rate.

However, failure to meet annual percentage sales targets with credits each year will result in £15,000 per-vehicle financial penalties.  

The targets for ZEV car sales are:

  • 2024: 22%
  • 2025: 28%
  • 2026: 33% 
  • 2027: 38%
  • 2028: 52%
  • 2029: 66%
  • 2030: 80%
  • 2035: 100% 

As of the end of November, electric vehicle sales made up 18.7% of all new car registrations in the UK in 2024.

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